What?
A Europe ex-UK equity strategy focused on misunderstood opportunities within which positive change is predicted to drive substantial value creation. Contrarian, business-cycle and strongly valuation-oriented.
Europe ex-UK
Europe ex-UK
Why?
Europe remains a deeply heterogenous universe of companies operating across many countries, industries, business cycles and with strong local nuance. It offers a diverse and rich universe of companies for stock pickers, with midcaps often overlooked by global investors despite offering attractive liquidity. Focusing on business and company life-cycles provides greater opportunity for both return and diversification of risk. Being able to predict where positive change will drive value creation is key within inefficient markets, particularly if the impact of change will be over a longer time period than markets tend to focus on.
How?
The key driver of the process is deep primary research, with an emphasis on meeting company management. Ideas are generated from multiple sources including an extensive range of screens designed to ensure opportunities are uncovered across the whole investment universe. Industry and business cycle context is important to the appropriate way to evaluate individual companies. So the approach to valuation is customised across growth, quality and recovery situations. Price is a critical component of the research process but the stocks in the portfolio would often not be classified as “value” from a historic perspective. This is because the valuation opportunity is embedded in the change that is predicted. In a world in which “labels” have become increasingly important the best opportunities are often those that are hard to categorise. The portfolio is constructed with a deliberate approach to key macro factors such as economic sensitivity, but driven “bottom-up” by weight of stock ideas across the different categories of stock.